With the Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour over, the next thing was for Pro Farmer to release their estimates. These estimates consider the data collected on the tour but is not solely based on those findings. They also factor in things like crop maturity, acreage adjustments made, historical differences in Tour data versus USDA’s final yields, areas outside those sampled on Crop Tour, and more.
Pro Farmer estimates Corn at:
13.358 billion bu.; Average yield of 163.3 bu. per acre
3.497 billion bu.; Average yield of 46.1 bu. per acre
The story throughout the whole trip has been the concerns over maturity. In every state the tour visited, scouts saw signs of crops which are going to need varying amounts of heat and time to make it to the finish line. While there were some good looking crops, it was more of a comparison to see which states were, “less bad”.
Western Tour Lead Jeff Wilson says the next 5 weeks will be very crucial for much of this crop to live up to its potential.
Wilson says their numbers are what they see when the dust settles on the 2019 crop year. These are the numbers they expect to see in January. These will not have anything to do with USDA’s estimates in September, October, or November.
Chip Flory says if this crop would be on schedule, it would be very impressive with the conditions it has right now.
Mother Nature and Father time seem to hold all the cards in deciding how our growing seasons turn out. However, many American Farmers have pushed all their chips into the middle of the table and the deck may be stacked against them.